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New Year 2020

Contents

  • New Year 2020
    • Review of 2019
      • Old year resolutions
      • Old year predictions
    • New year resolutions
    • Finishing things
    • Predictions for 2020
    • See also

It's new years eve and - as always - I try to finish some things and have some plans for next year.

Review of 2019

Not a lot happened about which I want to write publicly, so here are some other mentionable facts:

  • I have 68 643 points (+28 060) on StackOverflow and reached 29.9 million people (+7.5 million) with my posts (source).
  • I wrote only 50 articles for this blog (including this one, not counting 15 ones which were pulished as a cleanup) in 2019. A couple of them might be interesting:
    • Simple Operations and Basic Numbers gives an idea how fast different operations are
    • Bucketing in A/B Testing
    • Flask Chat with Polling
    • I published a paper and a dataset: WiLI-2018
    • A couple of reviews, e.g. Monitors, hiking insoles, water bottles, Fitness Trackers and Password Managers. I also switched my health insurance to TK
    • Political ones, e.g. about Climate Change and Homöopathie
    • 10 recepies, including vegetable curry, crispy thuna and tofu and Shrimps and Tofu
  • I've uploaded 31 files to Wikipedia Commons in 2019 (2195 files in total, source). My uploads to Wikipedia Commons are about 6 GiB in total now. On commons, I made 5418 edits in total.

Interesting changes in my life: Hmm ... actually, I'm not sure 🤔 Maybe that I survived my Nepal trip 😅 (seriously, I got pretty sick during that trip / after it and that was a lot of my vaccation this year). Again, I thought often about moving out of my shared flat. I'm pretty sensitive to noise and it's simply too crowded here. Let's see.

Again I can say that I spent a lot of time with working. Maybe too much time. I've noticed that I contributed a lot less to Wikipedia and wrote less blog articles of lower quality. I did write more answers on StackOverflow again.

Old year resolutions

  • ✗ Get comfortable with Orange Bouldering routes (5c-6c) and finish at least 5 harder ones (6c - 7b): I am comfortable at 5a and manage to do 6a+ ones. No chance at 7b... not even close.
  • ✗ Create a GAN for my HASYv2 dataset: I didn't even attempt this 😢
  • ✔ Create at least 10 more blog posts with recipes: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10
  • ✗ Create at least 10 high-quality Media files for Wikipedia: 1, 2, 3,

Old year predictions

Machine Learning and Technology

  1. ✔ Tensorflow will keep being the dominant deep learning framework as measured by (1) StackOverflow questions, (2) Google Trend, (3) Github repositories
  2. ✔ There will still not be a DOTA playing AI which can replace a human DOTA player in a human team with the usual flexibility: The best thing we can do is OpenAI Five which does not coorporate with humans but play together against amateur humans.
  3. ✗ We will see fraud cases related to ML: Although I expected deepfakes to be used for that, I haven't seen any news.

To show the deep learning stuff:

StackOverflow questions Google Trend Github repositories
Tensorflow 50 751 78 15081
PyTorch 5 093 50 8104
Caffe 2 782 0 for caffe2 758 and 89
Torch 1 110 11 337 and 95
CNTK 498 1 114

About Me

  1. ~ I will come back well from Nepal.
  2. ✗ I will write at least 10 summaries of papers on cs.CV: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6
  3. ✔ I will learn and fully understand how Flask Blueprints work.
  4. ✗ I will reach level 5 on the first 15 lessons for Spanish on Duolingo and level 3 on the next 13 ones. (So far: 10 on Level 5, 1 on Level 4, 3 on Level 3, 1 on Level 2)

The bigger Picture: Politics, Nature and the World

  1. ✔ There will be over 250 mass shootings in the US in 2019. I define a mass shooting as anything where at least 4 people get injured by a gun. (List of mass shootings in the United States in 2019)
  2. ✔ The government shutdown will last at least 20 days, but no more than 40 days. ✔
  3. ✔ Trump will still be in office

New year resolutions

The plans for my new year are:

  • [ ] Bouldering: Get comfortable with blue (5b to 6a+) and do at least 10 orange ones (6a+ to 6c)
  • [ ] Create a GAN for my HASYv2 dataset
  • [ ] Enzado: Clean solution for image uploads
  • [ ] Enzado: Clean solution for backups
  • [ ] Enzado: Add interface to create courses
  • [ ] Enzado: Create a course for Python package creation
  • [ ] Enzado: Add a web chat

Finishing things

I always do some cleanup before the new year begins. This means especially cleaning my computer stuff of unnecessary trash.

  • ✓ Archiving 3218 conversations in my Primary inbox
  • ✓ Deleting 429 conversations in my Social inbox
  • ✓ Deleting 995 conversations in my Promotions inbox
  • ✓ Archive 3435 conversations in my Updates inbox
  • ✓ Delete 542 conversations in my Forums inbox
  • [ ] Clean up my smartphones TODO list.
  • [ ] Clean up my Desktop / Download folder.
  • ✓ Make Backup of Google+ and Gmail (takeout), WhatsApp (tutorial), Amazon, Banking. I skipped Facebook (tutorial) and Twitter (tutorial) this year.
  • ✓ Push git stuff
  • [ ] Remove things from my YouTube "Watch Later" list

Predictions for 2020

Machine Learning and Technology

  1. Still Lithium-Ion will not have any contender for Smartphones
  2. Python 2 will still be around (despite pythonclock.org, py3readiness, python3statement)
  3. Still no real, unrestricted self-driving cars which ordinary people can buy (e.g. less than 300k USD and on open market) on the road (despite this and many more claims)

About Me

  1. I will write at least 10 articles around sustainability / reducing waste / climate change
  2. I will run 6.1 km (Distance of B2Run) in less than 30 minutes
  3. I will reduce my weight from 69 kg currently to 64 kg
  4. I will live 350 days meat-free (sea food is ok)

The bigger Picture: Politics, Nature and the World

  1. [ ] Germany will still produce more than 400 Mt CO2 and thus fail the climate targets (2017 it was 906 Mt, source)
  2. [ ] At least 3 wildfires which will burn more than 100,000 ha
  3. [ ] The impeachment of Trump will not bring him into prison
  4. [ ] Trump will be the republican candidate
  5. [ ] Sanders will be the democrats candidate
  6. [ ] Democrats will win the election

See also

  • New Year 2016
  • New Year 2017
  • New Year 2018
  • New Year 2019
  • New Year 2020

Published

Dez 31, 2019
by Martin Thoma

Category

Cyberculture

Tags

  • Cleaning 5
  • New Years Eve 5

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